The Catholic University of America

The Institute for Policy Research & Catholic Studies (IPR) organized a panel discussion on the Catholic Vote which included IPR Director Stephen Schneck. The event was covered live by C-SPAN and attended by a number of media outlets. See below.

Catholic Vote in 2016

From: C-SPAN
Date: Oct. 31, 2016

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Catholics, the ultimate swing voters, lean heavily towards Clinton

From: Religion News Service
Date: Oct. 31, 2016
Author: Lauren Markoe

... One reason that the group swings between parties is that “there really is no Catholic vote,” said Stephen F. Schneck, director of the Catholic University of America’s Institute for Policy Research & Catholic Studies, the panel’s other sponsor. Neither major political party sufficiently embraces Catholic teaching to be an easy fit for Catholic voters, he said. ...

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Trump vs. the Telltale Catholic Vote

From: Weekly Standard
Date: Nov. 1, 2016
Author: Alice B. Lloyd

... And, based on recent polling, the Catholic choice in 2016 is clear. "Support for Donald Trump is lower among [white, weekly churchgoing] Catholics than support for Romney, McCain or Bush, and Latino Catholics are supporting Secretary Clinton in numbers significantly higher than went for Democrats in these past elections," Stephen F. Schneck, Director of the Institute for Policy Research and Catholic Studies and Associate Professor of Politics at Catholic University, told reporters at the National Press Club Monday morning. White Catholics who attend mass less often—a swing-voting bloc historically—lean further Democratic this year. "Secretary Clinton," Schneck concludes, "is likely to win support from voters who are Catholic." ...

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Panel discusses impact of new 'immigrant church' on Catholic vote

From: National Catholic Reporter
Date: Nov. 1, 2016
Author: Tom Roberts

... Catholic voters make up about one-fifth of the entire electorate, said Stephen Schneck, director of the institute at Catholic University. But just as there is no one political party that represents the "holistic unity of the church's teaching," neither is there a "meaningful" single block of Catholic voters who represent that ideal. Rather, he said, during the event at the National Press Club, "what we're talking about and what is usually talked about in contexts like this are voters who are Catholics, and not Catholic voters."

By whatever term, "a bit more" than 40 percent of Catholics lean Democratic and "a bit less" lean toward the Republican side, with 20 percent "true swing voters."

Demographically, said Schneck, "Catholics in America foreshadow where America as a whole is headed." The most telling number is that 43 percent of Catholics today are either first- or second-generation immigrants. The new immigrant church, however, is increasingly nonwhite, its members hailing from Africa, the Caribbean, East Asia and South Asia. The largest component of the first- and second-generation immigrants, about a third, are Latino. ...

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Clinton ahead among Catholics in poll; Latinos, white women lead way

From: Catholic News Service (via Catholic Philly)
Date: Nov. 2, 2016
Author: Mark Pattison

... Catholics are giving a decided edge to Hillary Clinton, as she has a 5-to-4 margin over Donald Trump, according to a new poll released Oct. 31 at a news conference at the National Press Club.


Hispanic Catholics and white women are helping Clinton make these gains, said the poll results, released by the Public Religion Research Institute in conjunction with the Institute for Policy Research & Catholic Studies at The Catholic University of America in Washington.

Clinton, the Democratic nominee, got support from 51 percent of Catholics compared to 40 percent for Donald Trump, the Republican nominee. This compares to a much closer 50 percent-48 percent advantage Catholics gave to President Barack Obama over GOP challenger Mitt Romney four years ago in Obama’s re-election bid. ...

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